In the end, the paper offers a compelling story, but not a disciplined causal argument. A loosely defined marine heat wave is paired with a loosely defined ecological baseline, and the two are joined by temporal coincidence and confident language. The sy…
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When Everything Is a Heat Wave and Every Change Is Climate

By Charles Rotter on January 2, 2026

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In the end, the paper offers a compelling story, but not a disciplined causal argument. A loosely defined marine heat wave is paired with a loosely defined ecological baseline, and the two are joined by temporal coincidence and confident language. The synthesis feels objective because it is large and comprehensive, not because its foundations are secure.

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